Model notes
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Tool · ACDP Interactive calculator Methodology cross-link live

ACDP Calculator.

Choose a role, industry, market, and experience level. The calculator returns displacement pressure, adaptation leverage, and plausible transition surfaces.

Tool · live surfaceAI Career Displacement Probability

This is the interactive product version of the model. It is directional, not diagnostic.

Runs this week
1,284
Roles indexed
412
Baseline
OECD '25
Method page
v0.4
Input
RoleProduct Manager
IndustrySaaS
Years of experience3
05101520+
AI exposure (auto)64 / 100
lowmidhigh
Geographic marketNorth America
Output
5-year displacement probability
37%± 9
low · 0mid · 50high · 100
Adaptation leverage
hightop decile · 82/100
Similar roles rerouting into
AI product strategist revenue ops architect data-contract PM forward-deployed PM
Signal tags
validated 2026-03 active tracking OECD disagrees by ~8pt
How this model works