Where consensus ends, judgment begins.
Model-driven, falsifiable analysis of AI, geopolitics, and the industries they reshape.
This is the summary version of the Desk methodology. The full Desk conversation index, archive, and reference tools live on the Desk page.
Every judgment has a model. If we can't name inputs, weights, and outputs, we don't ship the call.
Claims come with timestamps, sources, and a falsifier. A judgment you can't check isn't an opinion — it's a mood.
We log when we're wrong. The ledger shows every retirement and rewrite. Being right once is luck.
Where consensus has converged, we look harder. Not to disagree — to find where the room stopped looking.
Some Maverick work is public. Deeper notes, model updates, and member essays are available after a Ghost email sign-in link.